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Prediction markets
44 active markets
· category “Geopolitics”
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How to trade
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Orbán - Hungary PM
99%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
23 more
$7.81M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
14%
October 31
9%
2 more
$17.3M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$172
66 trading now
Netanyahu out by...?
37%
chance
Yes
No
$123.5M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$68
76 trading now
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$1.51M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$208
56 trading now
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
20%
chance
Yes
No
$2.45M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$128
50 trading now
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Dopropillia
55%
Druzkhivka
27%
6 more
$527K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
63 trading now
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31
25%
October 31
14%
2 more
$801K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$102
63 trading now
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
23%
chance
Yes
No
$1.31M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$111
49 trading now
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$93K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$572K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by...?
26%
chance
Yes
No
$90K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$98
41 trading now
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rafael Grossi
52%
Macky Sall
27%
29 more
$135K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$48
51 trading now
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